Business
Investment, contribution and risk
- 1.
Explain why contribution per unit is not the same as profit per unit when a firm has fixed costs.
[2 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Each sale contributes toward fixed overheads. Only contribution beyond those overheads becomes profit, so using contribution as profit overstates the return before break-even.
Marking points
- Contribution equals price minus variable cost per unit.
- Total contribution must cover fixed costs before any profit remains.
Examiner tip: State what contribution must cover first.
- 2.
Fictional case: price is 30, variable cost 18 per unit and fixed costs 24000. Calculate break-even output and the margin of safety at sales of 2600 units.
[3 marks]Answer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Fixed costs require 2000 contributions of 12. Forecast sales exceed that threshold by 600, the amount sales could fall before reaching break-even under unchanged assumptions.
Marking points
- Unit contribution = 30 - 18 = 12.
- Break-even = 24000/12 = 2000 units.
- Margin of safety = 2600 - 2000 = 600 units.
Examiner tip: Margin of safety is actual or forecast sales less break-even, not fixed cost less revenue.
- 3.
Fictional case: an investment costs 50000 now and returns net cash of 18000, 20000 and 16000 at the end of years 1, 2 and 3. Assuming uniform receipts within year 3 for payback, calculate payback and NPV using supplied discount factors 0.91, 0.83 and 0.75.
[4 marks]Answer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Payback uses undiscounted cash and the explicitly allowed within-year interpolation. NPV separately treats the listed annual flows as year-end flows and discounts each before subtracting initial cost.
Marking points
- Cumulative cash after year 2 = 38000; unrecovered cost = 12000.
- Payback = 2 + 12000/16000 = 2.75 years.
- Present inflows = 16380 + 16600 + 12000 = 44980.
- NPV = 44980 - 50000 = -5020 currency units.
Examiner tip: Do not use discounted cash to calculate ordinary payback.
- 4.
Fictional case: launch A yields 80000 with probability 0.6 and loses 20000 with probability 0.4; its separate launch cost is 10000. Launch B gives 30000 for certain before a separate 5000 cost. Calculate net expected values and explain one limitation of choosing the higher value.
[4 marks]Answer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Weight each possible payoff by probability and deduct each separate cost once. The expected value is a probability-weighted average, not a promised outcome from a one-off launch.
Marking points
- A before launch cost = 0.6 * 80000 + 0.4 * (-20000) = 40000.
- A net expected value = 30000.
- B net expected value = 25000.
- A's higher expectation does not guarantee its realised outcome or suit a firm unable to absorb losses.
Examiner tip: Keep negative payoffs negative when weighting them.
- 5.
Fictional case: a firm must choose a quick-payback machine with high maintenance or a slower-payback efficient machine with a higher forecast NPV. Evaluate using payback alone.
[4 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Payback is a useful liquidity screen rather than a full return measure. A cash-constrained firm may prefer fast recovery, but one with secure finance should also assess whole-life cash flows and maintenance uncertainty.
Marking points
- Indicative: quick recovery can reduce liquidity exposure and forecast risk.
- Payback ignores cash after recovery and usually the time value of money.
- Maintenance and later savings can favour the higher-NPV option.
- A justified decision combines cash constraints, NPV assumptions and operational reliability.
Examiner tip: Explain what the appraisal method excludes.
- 6.
Fictional case: an exporter's proposed expansion has positive NPV using one demand forecast and one exchange rate. Evaluate approving it without sensitivity analysis.
[4 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Test changes in the variables that drive cash flows and assess combined adverse scenarios. A small positive NPV may be fragile, whereas a robust project may remain attractive; sensitivity cannot itself assign reliable probabilities.
Marking points
- Indicative: positive NPV supports approval only under the model's assumptions.
- Demand or exchange movements can reduce revenues and alter costs.
- Sensitivity tests identify which assumptions can reverse the decision.
- A justified judgement includes downside affordability and scenario interaction rather than treating NPV as certainty.
Examiner tip: Sensitivity analysis tests assumptions; it does not guarantee forecasts.
Marking points are indicative, not an official mark scheme. Accept equivalent valid methods and supported interpretations that address the task; award each mark once without requiring the model wording.