Geography
Tectonic risk and resilience
- 1.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Distinguish earthquake magnitude from shaking intensity.
[2 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- One earthquake has a source magnitude, but local effects vary with distance, ground and structures. Equal intensity here does not specify a numerical magnitude.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- Magnitude measures earthquake size related to energy release at its source.
- Intensity describes shaking effects at a location and can vary across locations.
Examiner tip: Do not describe magnitude as a count of casualties.
- 2.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Calculate each district's percentage of inadequately reinforced buildings. What does the comparison show?
[2 marks]Answer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Standardise counts by their denominators before comparing prevalence. R has 240 at-risk inspected structures versus S's 90, but both samples show the same proportion.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- R: 240/800 × 100 = 30%; S: 90/300 × 100 = 30%.
- Proportions are equal although R has more inadequately reinforced buildings in absolute terms.
Examiner tip: Equal percentages do not mean equal numbers or equal overall risk.
- 3.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Explain why R may have greater disaster losses despite equal shaking and reinforcement percentages.
[3 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Risk combines hazard with exposure and vulnerability. The same local shaking is not the same disaster when more people and structures are in harm's way and rescue capacity differs.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- More residents increase the number of people exposed.
- More inadequately reinforced structures raise absolute potential damage.
- Slower emergency access may increase consequences after collapse.
Examiner tip: Use conditional language: this is planning evidence, not an observed death toll.
- 4.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Explain how soft unconsolidated ground can modify shaking and damage.
[3 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Separate amplification from liquefaction: the first concerns wave response, while the second concerns loss of ground strength under suitable saturation and shaking conditions.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- Local sediments may amplify seismic shaking relative to firm rock.
- Water-saturated loose sediments may lose strength through liquefaction.
- Ground deformation can damage foundations even where building design is stronger.
Examiner tip: Liquefaction is not inevitable on every soft soil.
- 5.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Evaluate whether a limited budget should prioritise retrofit or emergency access in R.
[4 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- First prevent avoidable collapse in high-occupancy or critical buildings, if feasible, while identifying access bottlenecks that would undermine all response. The given percentages alone cannot price either strategy.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- Retrofit can reduce structural collapse before casualties occur.
- Access improvements aid rescue and service continuity after shaking.
- Costs, critical facilities and implementation time affect priorities.
- Makes a justified conditional priority or targeted combination rather than an unsupported universal choice.
Examiner tip: A budget decision needs cost and benefit evidence not supplied here; state the missing information.
- 6.
Fictional earthquake planning case: in District R, 240 of 800 inspected buildings lack adequate reinforcement; District S has 90 of 300. Both are exposed to the same modelled shaking intensity. R has more residents and slower emergency access. These are invented inspection data, not real earthquake losses. Assess how reliable these inspections are for district-wide risk planning.
[4 marks] · no calculatorAnswer explanation
Draft walkthroughs are based on marking guidance, not independently verified derivations.
- Inspection counts provide a useful vulnerability indicator, not a complete loss model. Check the sampling frame and link structures to people, ground conditions and lifelines before generalising.
- Award each point once. Accept other well-supported interpretations addressing the task.
Marking points
- Sampling method and whether all building types are represented affect representativeness.
- A common reinforcement standard is needed for valid comparison.
- Occupancy, age, soil and infrastructure data are needed beyond reinforcement.
- Concludes what the equal sampled proportions support and what they cannot establish.
Examiner tip: A larger sample is not automatically unbiased.
Marking points are indicative, not an official mark scheme. Accept equivalent valid methods and supported interpretations that address the task; award each mark once without requiring the model wording.